Hello my friend and welcome back! This question actually came up the other day and I felt it was worth sharing, my thoughts on it, in today’s post. Grab a cup of coffee and have a seat while we visit.
Is there a particular time of year when SHTF is more likely to occur than others? Well, I guess that would depend on the cause. I think the best way to approach this one is to look at different scenarios and see if this would apply to them.
EMP/ Cyber-attack – The end result of both of these would be to render a country and its people without electrical power. So, is there a particular time of year when these would do the most damage? The answer to that is definitely YES. If either one of these were to occur in the Dead of winter or at the Peak of Summer, then there effect would be multiplied. Many people use electricity to heat and cool their homes and in the dead of winter, many people would quickly freeze to death without a way to stay warm.
This combined with other things like frozen sources of water, and an inability to travel on snow covered roads would quickly diminish the number of survivors. Even those who have fireplaces would run into issues of locating firewood. Food would also become a critical issue much faster. Where as, in the summer one might be able to hunt for wild game and find plants to eat. In the winter, this would be almost impossible for anyone but the experienced winter hunter. Basically, people would start to die off in a matter of weeks or days rather than months. It’s not a very pleasant scenario for anyone.
But what about the summer, that wouldn’t be too bad would it? While being hit with a power outage in the summer wouldn’t be quite as bad, it would be fraught with its own issues. The trouble is that so many people have become adapted to living in their air conditioned buildings, they actually struggle to survive without it. They no longer possess the knowledge or ability to deal with severe heat. The sick and the infirmed would die off very quickly. Just think back to periods of high heat and all of the elderly and disabled who are found dead, each time it happens. Now combine this with the fact that the heat will cause the bodies to decompose at an increased rate, spreading disease and pestilence to those who are still alive. Without power, water will become an issue in the heat much faster, as many water sources will dry up quickly. No, this would be much than any other time of year with the exception of winter.
While Hurricanes occur only at certain times of year. If electrical power was lost with a hurricane bearing down on the coast, it would add a layer of misery and death, to any other type of attack which may coincide with it. Again, summer would be a bad time to experience any disaster, which could take down communications.
Plague or Virus is another attack which could be made much worse, based on the time of year it occurs. While I would think that the summer would be the most likely time to expect a plague, due to the fact that many more people will be out and traveling, as well as coming in close contact with each other. I guess it would be the type of virus or plague that would determine the time of year which it would be the most destructive. I would imagine that a Flu type virus may do more damage in the winter because that is when they seem to naturally occur.
There are many other types of attacks which can take place, ranging from a nuclear attack to military attack and Martial law. Because winter severely limits transportation and military troops are equipped to deal with the weather, then I would say that both Military attacks and Martial law would both likely occur in the winter, as well.
I believe that the rest of the possible disasters would have little or no effect on the time of year in which they occur. They would be just as deadly in the spring of the year as in the peak of summer or winter. So which is the most likely time of year for an attack on a nation? I would have to say winter and that is just my opinion. The reasoning behind it is that people move around less in the winter and are much easier to track when they do. Combine this with the other effects of a disaster occurring and you have a nightmare scenario. Anyone launching an attack will want to execute it at a time of year which would help it create the maximum amount of casualties and I’m sure that the time of year will be a major consideration for it’s timing. The best any of us can hope for is to be as prepared for it no matter what time of year it occurs.
I guess that is it for today so please stay safe, stay strong and stay prepared. God Save America!