On a scale of 1 to10, how close are we to SHTF?

Hello my friend and welcome back! I get several emails a month asking me my opinion on SHTF and this very thing (“On a scale of 1 to10, how close are we to SHTF?”) Today we are going to look at what I think and why.  Grab a cup of coffee and have a seat while we visit.

While I know that many people have varying opinions on this, I think that it is important that we take a look and just how close we are and why I think that we are closer than many people realize. Let’s start with the different things that I think could set off SHTF in a relatively short time frame.  While there are many scenarios that could bring on Armageddon, I am more concerned with the ones that could happen in less than a 24 hour period or without further notice.  This limits the field down a bit and will allow me to cover it in a single post.  These are nuclear attack, EMP attack, Cyber-attack and invasion from outside forces.  Let’s take a look at each of these. While some may disagree with the last one, I feel it merits a place on this list which I will get to later.

Nuclear Attack – This is one of those things that many of us have lived with the fear of all of our lives. In fact I remember doing the drills for it back when I was in grade school and that was not just yesterday.  If someone like IRAN, Russia, or even China were to take a mind “push the button” as it were, we would have little warning and for many, there would be little they could do.  Because of the world condemnation of using nukes, I really think the threat level of this happening is about 5 out of 10.  It’s one of those things that are always possible but really not that probable.

Invasion from outside forces – With all of the work President Obama and many others have been doing to leave our borders wide open, and with the reports of both ISIS and Russian troops massing on the other side of it, it quickly become a possibility. How large are the chances that it could happen?  I would actually give it a 6 out of ten chance of happening at some point.  Mexico is dead set against the US building a border fence and is not beyond cooperating with our enemies if they though it would work out to their advantage.  Money sent back to Mexico from illegal aliens here in the US account for a very large part of their economy and if it was to suddenly stop because their people could no longer sneak across the border then it could…. I think you get the picture.  I also think they have already started planning for this very scenario.

Cyber Attack – Cyber-attack is one of the largest threats facing our country at this point in time. It is believed to be coming from many different countries including China, Russia and the Middle East.  Hundreds of thousands of times a week the US is hit by an attempted Cyber-attack on our National electric infrastructure as well as our Military Defense systems.  It is only a matter of time until they find a way to penetrate them and when they do its game over!  Things we depend on every day would disappear in a moment without warning.  What many people don’t realize is that they don’t just want to turn off our power; they want to destroy it so we can never bring it back online.  It is possible and only a matter of time according to most experts in the field.  This one I give 8 out of ten because it is basically already underway.

EMP Attack – An EMP or “Electro Magnetic Pulse” is one threat that worries me because it is easily accomplished and does not kill anyone directly unless you count those with pace makers and are on life support because they will die instantly pretty much. While it is accomplished with a nuclear bomb or maybe a “Super EMP Bomb” which is also a type of nuclear bomb as well, it will be met with much less uproar from the Governments of the world.  How would this be done you might ask?  By detonating one of these bombs high in the atmosphere over Kansas it, would take out most of if not all of the US.  Leaving our defenses useless because despite what many people may think, much of our hardware is not hardened against an EMP Blast.  The county I think most likely to use an EMP against the US is North Korea!  They have launched 2 “Satellites” in to orbit around the earth. They are each the size of a washing machine (which is large enough for an EMP device) but the really troubling thing about them is that neither of them have ever emitted any radio signals at all. What good is a Weather satellite if it doesn’t send back any data?  Or it could just be a bomb waiting to receive a signal to tell it to detonate and a time of the controller’s choosing.  One more thing about these satellites is the orbit they take around the earth.  I just so happens that it takes them directly over the middle Kansas at times. Here is a link where you can see it’s orbit.  Add this to the fact that Kim Jong-un is known to be unstable and has recently ordered all of his missiles to be on standby to attack the US and you have a formula for a SHTF situation to unfold.  For this reason, I give this one a 9 out of ten chance of happening in the near future.

So just how close are we to an SHTF event? While your guess is as good as mine, I do believe they we are frighteningly close and only time will tell for sure.  As for me, I think it is about a 9 out of ten chance of happening in the next 2 years or sooner.  Well that is it for today and I hope you have enjoyed todays post.  Please comment below and let me know what you think because you are the reason I do this.  Until next time, stay safe, stay strong and stay Prepared!

-The Sargent-

Here is where it will pass on March 12th 2016:

12 thoughts on “On a scale of 1 to10, how close are we to SHTF?”

  1. I keep hearing noise about a derivative bubble collapse, which if true, would be a global event. It’s supposed to be a present for our next president, whoever that might be. I’m curious about what you and the readers might think????

  2. Seeing as it would be too impractical to prep for any one specific event, I feel it is more prudent to prep for all of them to some degree.

  3. A coronal mass ejection as strong as the carrington event, per Lloyd’s, is inevitable. 12% chance per decade. Effects will kill 90% of us population. This is what you prep for.

  4. If you haven’t begun to batten down the hatches for this year’s riots & looting sprees – spring’s coming early and it’ll be getting serious any day now ….

    If you don’t believe a Ferguson or Baltimore type riot doesn’t have nationwide implications – you’re not understanding the mentality and intent behind the riots ….

  5. I agree,but what about a red flag incident before the end of the year so the treason in chief could declare martial law? I give that one an 11 out of 10.


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